Research and Publications

Some Current Projects   Articles   Books/Chapters/Public Documents   Edited Volumes
Published Conference Proceedings   Funded Research  Professional Research Affiliations  

Research interests:

Stochastic and discrete event simulation modeling and analysis; Bayesian statistics and decision analysis; operational excellence; services operations especially for health care services; infectious disease modeling and control; operations management.

Some Current Projects  (back to top)

*    A. Arlotto, Chick, S.E., Gans N. 2010, Optimal employee retention when inferring unknown learning curves. In B. Johansson, S. Jain, J. Montoya-Torres, J. Hugan, and E. Yücesan, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, to appear, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (with full paper version in submission).

*    H. Mamani, Chick, S.E., Simchi-Levi, D., Influenza Vaccine Supply Chain Coordination: Interdependent Risk and Global Health (submitted).

*    Nasiry J, SE Chick, S Hasija, 2010, Incentive Alignment and Information Elicitation from Providers for Public Goods Procurement, in progress.

*    Agrawal A, SE Chick, 2010, Supplier Quality and Relationship Choice Under Competition, in progress.

*    Study of operations strategy and management quality in the industrial sector via the Industrial Excellence Award (English version at http://www.beste-fabrik.de/index.php?id=51) for France (Trophée des Meilleures Usines, or Top Usine, at http://www.meilleure-usine.fr/) and Germany (Die Beste Fabrik at http://www.beste-fabrik.de/),  organized by INSEAD and WHU.

* Some other projects in the areas of simulation optimization and mathematical modeling for health technology assessment, with focus on sequential sampling, uncertainty analysis, and the expected value of information.

Use of Bayesian statistics and decision-theoretic tools to improve decisions about business processes that are based upon simulation analysis, and to improve the efficiency with which those analysis are done (discrete optimization with simulation through statistical selection, uncertainty analysis, experimental designs).  Applications include health care delivery, manufacturing, service operations.

Research on development and implementation of health care simulation software to inform health care control and policy decisions, particularly for infectious disease and vaccination program models. Focus on how modeling decisions may wittingly or unwittingly influence practical public health decisions.

Journal Articles:  (back to top)

39. Chick SE, Frazier, P, 2011, Sequential Sampling with Economics of Selection Procedures, Management Science, accepted to appear.

38. Chick SE, Branke J, Schmidt C, 2010, Sequential Sampling to Myopically Maximize the Expected Value of Information, INFORMS Journal on Computing, 22(1) 71--80.

37. S.E. Chick, N. Gans, 2009, Economic Analysis of Simulation Selection Options, Management Science, 55(3) 421--437.  With Online Supplement.

36. E. Güneş, S.E. Chick, L.N. Van Wassenhove, 2009, Quality and Price Competition for Screening Services, Annals of Operations Research, accepted to appear, DOI 10.1007/s10479-009-0645-x.

35. M.D. Stevenson, J.E. Oakley, S.E. Chick, K. Chalkidou, 2009, The cost-effectiveness of surgical instrument management policies to reduce the risk of vCJD transmission to humans, Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60(4): 506-518.

34. S.E. Chick, H. Mamani, D. Simchi-Levi, 2008, Supply Chain Coordination and the Influenza Vaccination, Operations Research, 56(6): 1493-1506.  [Initial version winner of 2006 Pierskalla Award]

33. C.H. Loch, S. Chick, A. Huchzermeier, 2007, Can European Manufacturing Companies Compute? Industrial Competitiveness, Employment and Growth in Europe, European Management Journal, 25(4): 251-265.

32. Jürgen Branke, Stephen E. Chick, Christian Schmidt, 2007, Selecting a Selection Procedure (including Online Companion), Management Science, 53(12): 1916-1932.  We also have some implementation comments.

31. He, D., Chick, S.E., Chen, C.-H., 2007, The Opportunity Cost and OCBA Selection Procedures in Ordinal Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, Cybernetics C, 37(5): 951-961.

30. Chick, S.E., 2006, Six Ways to Improve a Simulation Analysis, Journal of Simulation, 1(1): 21-28.

29. Brennan, A., Chick, S.E., Davies, R., 2006, A Taxonomy of Model Structures for Economic Evaluation of Health Technologies, (see also Online Companion), Health Economics, 15(12): 1295-1310.

28. Lin, X., Koopman, J.S., Chick, S.E., 2006, Mathematical Model Comparisons of Potential Nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae Vaccine Effects, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 245: 66-76.

27. Ng, S.H., Chick, S.E., 2006, Reducing Parameter Uncertainty for Stochastic Systems, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 16(1): 26-51.

26. Chick, S.E., Wu, Y.-Z., 2005, Selection Procedures with Frequentist Expected Opportunity Cost Bounds, Operations Research, 53(5): 867-878. With Online Companion.

25. Ng, S.H., Chick, S.E., 2004, Design of Follow-Up Experiments for Improving Model Discrimination and Parameter Estimation, Naval Research Logistics, 51(8): 1129-1148.

24. Güneş, E.D., Chick, S.E., Akşin, O.Z., 2004, Breast Cancer Screening: Trade-offs in Planning and Service Provision, Health Care Management Science, 7(4): 291-303.

23. Chick, S.E., Soorapanth, S., Koopman, J.S., 2003, Inferring Infection Transmission Parameters That Influence Water Treatment Decisions, Management Science, 49(7): 920-935.

22. Koopman, J.S., Chick, S.E., Riolo, C.S., Simon, C.P., Jacquez, G., 2002, Stochastic effects on endemic infection levels of disseminating versus local contacts, Mathematical Biosciences, 180:49-71.

21. Chick, S.E., Inoue, K., 2002, Corrigendum: New Selection Procedures, Operations Research, 50(3):566.

20. Chick, S.E., 2001, Input Distribution Selection for Simulation Experiments: Accounting for Input Uncertainty, Operations Research, 49(5):744-758.

19. Chick, S.E., Inoue, K., 2001, New Two-Stage and Sequential Procedures for Selecting the Best Simulated System, Operations Research, 49(5): 732-743.

18. Koopman, J.S., Jacquez, G., Chick, S.E., 2001, New Data and Tools for Integrating Discrete and Continuous Population Modeling Strategies, In Population Health and Aging: Strengthening the Dialog between Epidemiology and Demography. M. Weinstein, A. Hermalin, M.A. Stoto Eds.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, v. 954: 268-294.

17. Chick, S.E., Inoue, K., 2001, New Procedures for Identifying the Best Simulated System Using Common Random Numbers, Management Science, 47(8): 1133–1149.

16. Riolo, C.S., Koopman, J.S., Chick, S.E., 2001, Methods and measures for the description of epidemiologic contact networks, Journal of Urban Health, 78(3): 446-457.

15. Chick, S.E., Koopman, J.S., Soorapanth, S., Brown, M.E., 2001, Infection Transmission System Models for Microbial Risk Assessment, The Science of the Total Environment, 274(1-3): 197-207.

14. Chick, S.E., Barth-Jones, D.C., Koopman, J.S., 2001, Bias Reduction for Risk Ratio and Vaccine Effect Estimators, Statistics in Medicine, 20(11, June 15): 1609-1624.

13. Koopman, J.S., Chick, S.E., Riolo, C.S., Adams, A.L.,Wilson, M.L., Becker, M.P., 2000, Modeling Contact Networks and Infection Transmission in Geographic and Social Space Using GERMS, Sexually Transmitted Diseases, 27(10, Nov): 617-626.

12. Chick, S.E., Adams, A., Koopman, J.S., 2000, Analysis and Simulation of a Stochastic, Discrete-Individual Model of STD Transmission with Partnership Concurrency, Mathematical Biosciences, 166(1):45-68.

11. Chen, C.-H., Lin, J., Yücesan, E., Chick, S.E., 2000, Simulation Budget Allocation for Further Enhancing the Efficiency of Ordinal Optimization, Discrete Event Dynamic Systems: Theory and Applications, 10(3, July): 251-270.

10. Chick, S.E., Olsen, T., Sethuraman, K., Stecke, K., White, C.C., 2000, A Descriptive Multi-Attribute Model for Reconfigurable Machining System Selection that Examines Buyer-Supplier Relationships, International Journal of Agile Management Systems, 2(1): 33-48.

9. Inoue, K., Chick, S.E., Chen, C.-H., 1999, An Empirical Evaluation of Several Methods to Select the Best System, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 9(4): 381-407.

8. Adams, A., Barth-Jones, D.C., Chick, S.E., Koopman, J.S., 1998, Simulations to Evaluate HIV Vaccine Trial Methods, Simulation, 71(4): 228-241.

7. Welch, G., Chick, S.E., Koopman, J., 1998, Effect of Concurrent Partnerships and Sex-Act Rate on Gonorrhea Prevalence, Simulation, 71(4): 242-249.

6. Chick, S.E., Mendel, M.B., 1998, New Characterizations of the No-Aging Property and the l`1-Isotropic Models, Journal of Applied Probability, 35(4): 903-910.

5. Chick, S.E., Mendel, M.B., 1998, Using Wear Curves to Predict the Cost of Changes in Cutting Conditions, ASME J. Manufacturing Science and Engineering, 120(2, Feb): 166-168.

4. Chick, S.E., Shortle, J., van Gelder, P., Mendel, M., 1996, A Model For the Frequency of Extreme River Levels Based On River Dynamics, Structural Safety, 18(4): 261-276.

3. Black, J.J., Chick, S.E., 1996, Michigan Simulation User Group Panel Discussion: How Do We Educate Future Discrete-Event Simulationists, International Journal of Industrial Engineering, 3(4): 223-232.

2. Chick, S.E., 1996, The proportion of positive samples and exact credible sets for limiting dilution assay and group test data, Biometrics, 52(Sept): 1055-1062.

1. Chick, S.E., Mendel, M.B., 1996, An Engineering Basis for Statistical Lifetime Models With an Application to Tribology, IEEE Trans. on Reliability, 45(2, June): 208-215.

Books/Chapters/Public Documents:  (back to top)

10. Chick SE, Huchzermeier A, Loch CH, 2010, Management Quality and Operational Excellence, In Managing Money, Measurement and Marketing, fourth volume in series for allied health professionals, R. Jones, F. Jenkins, Ed., Radcliffe Publishing Ltd., Abingdon, Oxford.

9. Loch, C.H., Chick, S.E., Huchzermeier, A., 2008, Management Quality and Competitiveness: Lessons from the Industrial Excellence Award, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg.

8. Chick, S.E., 2007, Comment on `Simple Models of Influenza Progression within a Heterogeneous Population' by Richard C. Larson, Operations Research, 55(3): invited online commentary, available at http://orforum.blog.informs.org/.

7. Matt Stevenson, J. Oakley, S.E. Chick, 2006, IPG196: Patient safety and reduction of risk of transmission of Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) via interventional procedures: Final report, UK NICE National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence, Available 21 Nov 2006, at http://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/IPG196/.

6. Chick, S.E., 2005, Subjective Probability and Bayesian Methodology. In Henderson, S.G., Nelson, B.L., Eds., Handbook in Operations Research and Management Science: Simulation, Elsevier, in press.

5. C. Loch, S.E. Chick, 2006, `Management Quality and Factory Performance' and `The Role of Management Quality in the Context of Operational Excellence'. In Operational Excellence in the Pharmaceutical Industry, T. Friedli, M. Kickuth, F. Stieneker, P. Thaler, J. Werani, Eds., Editio Cantor Verlag.

4. Chick, S.E., Soorapanth, S.,Koopman, J.S., 2004, Microbial Risk Assessment for Drinking Water. In Sainfort, F., Brandeau, M., Pierskalla,W., eds., Handbook of Operations Research and Health Care: Methods and Applications, Kluwer Academic Publishers (Hillier International Series in OR/MS).

3. Koopman, J.S., Lin, X.-M., Chick, S.E., Gilsdorf, J.R., 2004, Non-Capsulated Haemophilus influenzae Immunity Affects Transmission More Than Pathogenicity. In Sainfort, F., Brandeau, M.,Pierskalla,W., eds., Handbook of Operations Research and Health Care: Methods and Applications, Kluwer Academic Publishers (Hillier International Series in OR/MS), to appear.

2. Chick, S.E., Hashimoto, M., Inoue, K., 2001, Bayesian Sampling Allocations for Selecting the Best Population with Different Sampling Costs and Known Variances. p. 333-349. In Xie, M., Irony, T.Z., Hayakawa,Y., eds., System and Bayesian Reliability, World Scientific.

1. Chick, S.E., Shortle, J., van Gelder, P., Mendel, M., 1996,A Physics-Based Approach to Predicting the Frequency of Extreme River Levels, with critique and response. p. 87-103, 135-138. In Cooke, R.M., Mendel, M., Vrijling, H., eds., Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection, Kluwer.

Edited Volumes:  (back to top)

4. S.E. Chick, E. Yücesan, Guest Editors, Special Issue of ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation for the First INFORMS Simulation Society Research Workshop},
vol. 10, no. 1, with preface (pp. 9-10).

3. S.E. Chick, E. Yücesan, C.-H. Chen, S. Henderson, eds., Proceedings of the First INFORMS Simulation Society Research Workshop, (conference held in Fontainebleau, France).

2. E. Yücesan, S. E. Chick, eds., FUture BUsiness TEChnology (FUBUTEC) Conference Proceedings, EUROSIS, Ghent, Belgium. (conference held in Fontainebleau, France). ISBN 90-77381-07-4.

1. S. E. Chick, P.J. Sánchez, D. Ferrin, D.J. Morrice, eds., Proceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. Piscataway, New Jersey.

Published Conference Proceedings: (Speaker in italics.)  (back to top)

34. P Frazier, Jing Xie, S.E. Chick. 2011, Value of Information Methods for Pairwise Sampling with Correlations.
In S.~Jain, R.R. Creasey, J. Himmelspach, K.P. White and M. Fu, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, to appear, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

33. A. Arlotto, Chick, S.E., Gans N. 2010, Optimal employee retention when inferring unknown learning curves. In B. Johansson, S. Jain, J. Montoya-Torres, J. Hugan, and E. Yücesan, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, 1178-1188, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

32. Soorapanth S., Chick, S.E. 2010, Cost-Utility Analysis of Behavioral Interventions for HIV-Infected Persons to Reduce HIV Transmission in the USA. In B. Johansson, S. Jain, J. Montoya-Torres, J. Hugan, and E. Yücesan, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, 2433--2443, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

31. Chick, S.E., Frazier, P. 2009,  The Conjunction of the Knowledge Gradient and the Economic Approach to Simulation Selection. In M.D. Rossetti, R.R. Hill, B. Johansson, A. Dunkin, and R.G. Ingalls, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 528-539. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

30. Chick, S.E., Gans N. 2008, Update on Economic Approach to Simulation Selection Problems: Overview of an Economic Analysis. In S.J. Mason, R.R. Hill, L. Moench, O. Rose, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 297-304, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

29. Mamani, H, Chick, S.E., Simchi-Levi, D. 2008,  Influenza Vaccine Supply Chain with Multiple Agencies, 2008, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management. Conference.

28. Chick, S.E., J. Branke, C. Schmidt, 2007, New Greedy Myopic and Existing Asymptotic Sequential Selection Procedures: Preliminary Empirical Results. In S.G. Henderson, B. Biller, M.-H. Hsieh, J. Shortle, J.D. Tew, and R.R. Barton, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 289-296. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

27. Chick, S.E., Gans N. 2006, Simulation Selection Problems: Overview of an Economic Analysis. In L.F. Perrone, F.P. Wieland, J. Liu, B.G. Lawson, D.M. Nicol, and R.M. Fujimoto, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

26. Chick, S.E., 2006, Bayesian Ideas for Discrete Event Simulation: Why, What and How, In R.G. Ingalls, M.D. Rossetti, J.S. Smith, B.A. Peters, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. [PDF of TALK SLIDES].

25. Chick, S.E., 2004, Bayesian Methods for Simulation, In L.F. Perrone, F.P. Wieland, J. Liu, B.G. Lawson, D.M. Nicol, and R.M. Fujimoto, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. [PDF of TALK SLIDES].

24. S. Chick, H. Mamani, D. Simchi-Levi. 2006, Supply Chain Coordination and Influenza Vaccination, MSOM Conference (also presented at INFORMS 2006 Fall Conference).

23. Chick, S.E., Gans, N., 2006, Overview of an Economic Analysis of Simulation Selection Problems,In Proceedings of the 3rd Simulation Workshop (SW06) of the Operational Research Society (UK) Simulation Study Group. To appear.

22. Branke, J., Chick, S.E., Schmidt, C., 2005, New Developments in Ranking and Selection: An Empirical Comparison of the Three Main Approaches., In M.E. Kuhl, N.M. Steiger, F.B. Armstrong, and J.A. Joines, eds., in press, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.  [PDF of draft TALK SLIDES].

21. Chick, S.E., 2004, Bayesian Methods for Simulation, In R.G. Ingalls, M.D. Rossetti, J.S. Smith, B.A. Peters, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

20. Chick, S.E., 2003, Expected Opportunity Cost Guarantees and Indifference-Zone Selection Procedures, In S. E. Chick, P.J. Sánchez, D. Ferrin, D.J. Morrice, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 465-473, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

19. Barton, R.R., Cheng, R.C.H, Chick, S.E., Henderson, S.G., Law, A.M., Leemis, L.M., Schmeiser, B.W., Schruben, L.W.,Wilson, J.R., 2002. Panel on Current Issues in Simulation Input Modeling, In E. Yücesan, C.-H. Chen, J.L. Snowdon, J.M. Charnes, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 353-369. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

18. Ng, S.-H., Chick, S.E., 2002. Joint Criterion for Factor Identification and Parameter Estimation, In E. Yücesan, C.-H. Chen, J.L. Snowdon, J.M. Charnes, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 400-406. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

17. Ng, S.-H., Chick, S.E., 2001. Reducing Input Parameter Uncertainty For Simulations, In B.A. Peters, J. Smith, M. Rohrer, D. Madeiros, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 364-371. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

16. Soorapanth, S., Chick, S.E., Koopman, J.S., 2001, Simulation of Stochastic Infection Transmission Models Designed to Inform Water Treatment Decisions, In N. Giambiasi, C. Frydman, eds., Proc.European Simulation Symposium. p. 517-521. Society for Computer Simulation.

15. Chick, S.E., 2000. Bayesian Methods For Simulation, In J.A. Joines, R. Barton, P. Fishwick, K. Kang, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 109-118. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

14. Chick, S.E., Inoue, K., 2000. New Results on Procedures that Select the Best System Using CRN, In J.A. Joines, R. Barton, P. Fishwick, K. Kang, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p.554-561. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

13. Zhong, W., Maier-Speredelozzi, V., Bratzel, A., Yang, S., Chick, S.E., Hu, S.J., 2000, Performance Analysis of Machining Systems With Different Configurations, Proc. Japan USA Symposium on Flexible Manufacturing, Ann Arbor, Michigan, to appear.

12. Barth-Jones, D.C., Chick, S.E., Adams, A.L., Koopman, J.S., 2000. HIV vaccine trial design for measuring vaccine effects on infectiousness and the basic reproduction number, Proc. 13th International AIDS Conference, Durban, South Africa, July 9-14, 2000, Bologna, Italy: Monduzzi Editore, pp. 693-697.

11. S. Chick. 1999. Steps to Implement Bayesian Input Distribution Selection, In P.A. Farrington, H.B. Nembhard, D. Sturrock, J. Evans, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 317-324. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

10. S. Chick, Inoue, K., 1999. A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Screening and Selection with Common Random Numbers, In P.A. Farrington, H.B. Nembhard, D. Sturrock, J. Evans, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 603-610. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

9. Adams, A.L., Chick, S.E. , Koopman, J.S., Yu, P., 1999. GERMS: An Epidemiologic Simulation Tool For Studying Geographic and Social Effects on Infection Transmission, In P.A. Farrington, H.B. Nembhard, D. Sturrock, J. Evans, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 1549-1556. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

8. Koopman, J. S., Chick, S. E., Becker, M. P., Wilson, M. L., 1998, Partner Based Surveillance To Direct Control Toward Populations Where Undetected Infections Are Spreading, 12thWorld AIDS Conference Proceedings. Monduzzi Editore S.p.A. Bologna, Italy.

7. Barth-Jones, D.C., Adams, A., Lange, K., Chick, S.E., Koopman, J.S., 1998, Retrospective Partner Trials (RPT) HIV vaccine study design for measurement of vaccine effects, Proc. 12thWorld AIDS Conference Proceedings, Prevention and Epidemiology. Monduzzi Editore S.p.A. Bologna, Italy. pp. 285-289.

6. Chick, S.E., Inoue, K., 1998, Sequential Allocations That Reduce Risk For Multiple Comparisons, In D. J. Medeiros, E. J.Watson, M. Manivannan, J. Carson, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 669-676. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

5. Inoue, K., Chick, S.E., 1998, Comparison of Bayesian and Frequentist Assessments of Uncertainty for Selecting the Best System, In D. J. Medeiros, E. J. Watson, M. Manivannan, J. Carson, eds., Proc. Winter Simulation Conference. p. 727-734. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

4. Chick, S.E., 1997, Bayesian Analysis for Simulation Input and Output, In Andradottir, S., Healy, K., Withers, D., and Nelson, B., editors, Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 253-260, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

3. Chick, S.E., 1997, Selecting the Best System: A Decision-Theoretic Approach, In Andradottir, S., Healy, K., Withers, D., and Nelson, B., editors, Proc. Winter Simulation Conference, p. 326-333, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.

2. Ahn, S., Chick, S.E., Mendel, M.B., 1994, Deriving Accelerated Lifetime Models From Engineering Curves with an Application to Tribology, Proc. 40th Annual Technical Meeting and Exposition of the IES.

1. Ahn, S., Chick, S.E., Mendel, M.B., 1994, Deriving Probability Models for Stress Analysis, Advances in Structural Reliability Methods, ed. P.D. Spanos, pp. 1-10, Springer-Verlag.

Funded Research:  (back to top)

Updated: September 2011